« Frank Field's plan to strengthen Britain's democracy | Main | How bloggers can support our campaign »

February 27, 2008

PR's effect on the London mayoral contest

Sunder Katwala's column in the Guardian brings out several of the advantages to proportional representation.
1. No wasted votes. "Livingstone is not the only progressive candidate in the race. The Greens, the Lib Dems and others will make their arguments, and every voter can back the candidate they most want to win first, without fear of a 'wasted vote'"
2. Because there are no wasted votes with PR, Livingstone "must mobilise London's broad progressive majority, winning enough support from Lib Dems, Greens and others to see off a Tory-Ukip-fringe right alliance in the final tally of votes, including second preferences"
3. A candidate who cannot reach out to a true majority of voters has trouble succeeding.

"The electoral system makes Boris Johnson a poorer choice of candidate for the Conservatives than a more liberal candidate, who would be better able to compete for a high proportion of LibDem transfers. The electoral system would better reward a McCain-type candidate, with more lukewarm core support but a stronger ability to reach out beyond the base, than a hero of the Tory tribe."

Posted by joshloewenstein on February 27, 2008

Comments

All those those things would be true if we were using AV instead of SV, under the current system used for mayoral elections any second preferences that aren't deeded to the top two candidates are wasted (this amounted to 14.2% in the last London election). As a result of this other ways of wasting votes (invalid ballots, double voting) only 7 out of 23 mayoral elections run on this system have produced majorities. None of those 7 were Ken so it's perfectly possible to win without a true majority.

Whilst SV gives the illusion of being fairer, in reality it simply allows people to vote their protest vote and then their 'real' vote, which as the article points out will invariably remain Labour or the Conservatives. If we used a system like AV that allows more than two preferences we would get all benefits mentioned above, but it's incorrect to say our current system creates no wasted votes and winners with a majority.

Posted by: Alex at February 27, 2008 02:19 PM

I find the discussion about the London mayoral elections difficult to follow. Below is the comment I have put under Katwala's article. But first, I wonder if someone can explain to me how we can have PR for a single appointment!

'"London.................... is not a first-past-the-post contest"

In principle it is worse than a first-past-the-post (FPTP) contest. The first two in the first vote are in that position on a majoritarian FPTP basis. In the second vote (which comes into operation where noboody achieves 51% of the first vote) voters are voting "blind" and have to GUESS who the first two are and cast their vote accordingly. It so happens in the coming contest it will probably seem to the electorate that the first two are likely to be Livingstone and Johnson. But suppose they turned out to be Johnson and the LibDem candidate. Then if the majority of the second vote went to Ken Livingstone they would be completely wasted and one of the the first two would be elected even though the MAJORITY had not voted for them.

This is worse than the French presidential two round elections. At least in the French elections the voters can SEE who they are voting for in the second round. But it in particular will be recalled that in 2002 they were presented with a choice between a fascist and a rogue when the majority would probably have wanted Jospin as the president. But by the time of the seond round it was too late - Jospin was out, largely because in the first round voters had voted for splinter parties, or hadn't bothered to vote at all. The answer in both cases is the Alternative Vote (AV) where people can vote their first preference for a probable loser but their second preference for what I think Sarkozy called a real party.

Come to think of it, the USA would also benefit from AV for presidenial elections!'


Posted by: Joe Patterson at February 28, 2008 12:59 PM

We're democrats and believe in free speech, but we're also committed to civil and rational debate. We reserve the right to delete material posted to our site, but we hope and expect to exercise this right rarely if at all.